Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 190.670201 220.319355 254.043049 295.445550 345.183465 403.357854 477.055977
2025-09-21 148.793427 185.863531 232.212061 295.187781 379.719946 490.998645 651.506783
2025-09-28 125.676581 165.714160 219.221931 297.471605 411.582513 576.151116 839.559235
2025-10-05 114.791833 158.342026 219.905904 315.825929 466.323679 702.093263 1118.114898
2025-10-12 106.123263 152.063743 220.190930 332.345719 520.122934 837.285990 1450.491865
2025-10-19 95.020106 140.306718 210.072032 330.154032 542.248457 923.892592 1722.424209
2025-10-26 88.281783 134.144287 207.429022 339.159935 584.476751 1055.016705 2123.450211
2025-11-02 81.607624 127.130423 202.239847 342.546860 616.595250 1173.978671 2540.855111
2025-11-09 76.164901 121.420421 198.350829 347.369798 652.015710 1308.011032 3045.037457
2025-11-16 70.798750 115.192344 192.687775 347.780952 678.299561 1428.644070 3565.543909
2025-11-23 65.859610 109.156396 186.587566 346.276634 700.022076 1544.282044 4124.107923
2025-11-30 62.475524 105.520224 184.433891 352.321193 739.625904 1714.521127 4931.076864
2025-12-07 56.486092 96.948776 172.719017 338.303733 734.067252 1778.380021 5472.182638
2025-12-14 52.629116 92.018220 167.614047 338.087272 762.977465 1949.581101 6522.113063
2025-12-21 49.506962 88.138951 164.091720 340.781984 800.084805 2159.255481 7889.258027
2025-12-28 48.443499 88.123615 168.423828 362.399074 893.363607 2582.764631 10582.513691
2026-01-04 47.207252 87.610858 171.613277 381.890186 986.740221 3053.110836 14065.373707
2026-01-11 44.335507 83.456030 166.369386 379.302437 1014.309914 3301.237528 16643.490489
2026-01-18 42.691682 81.693012 166.224432 389.939428 1086.349833 3759.658953 21220.599426
2026-01-25 40.727196 79.053350 163.758361 393.942208 1138.400566 4166.402929 26153.259922
2026-02-01 39.030494 76.831511 162.003852 399.644386 1198.422151 4646.213726 32658.526819
2026-02-08 37.160294 74.056571 158.615050 400.130619 1240.497692 5069.862604 39660.834492
2026-02-15 35.315950 71.180000 154.667579 398.351701 1274.149586 5476.006462 47590.975058